New technology will unplug music biz

by Thomas Keane Jr.
Wednesday, July 30, 2003

The music industry believes piracy by listeners - the sharing of music files - threatens the entire system: artists, managers, producers, manufacturers, promoters, and retailers. Others see the same threat but blame it on dramatic and probably irreversible changes in technology.

Now the industry has put Boston colleges and universities on edge as it has launched a massive counterattack. Students in particular - typically the biggest consumers of recorded music - are feeling the brunt of the business's wrath, as industry lawyers file subpoenas and otherwise try to intimidate them.

Many suspect it will be a fruitless effort; eventually, the recording industry as we now know it will collapse. What then? Do harmony, rhythm, and counterpoint disappear from our lives?

Hardly. Recorded music is so much a part of our world that we rarely give it a second thought. Yet that system, especially as it exists today, does little to promote the creation of quality art. Nor does it provide musicians with a decent living.

In fact, far from making music better, the recording industry has likely made it worse.

Recorded music has been around for just over 100 years (the Victor Talking Machine Company created the first wax record in 1901). Music, of course, has been around for a lot longer. Indeed, what many think of as the greatest of all music - that of the Baroque, Classical and Romantic periods - was created without benefit of a recording industry. And for most of the 20th century, recording was a largely insignificant part of the business. Swing, country, jazz, the blues, R&B, and early rock 'n' roll all flourished with little help from the industry.

And in recent years, it has become increasingly obvious that the recording industry often ends up stifling creativity. That's because the business puts enormous emphasis on the production of hits. If songwriters and musicians don't appeal to a large cross-section of the public, then the industry ignores them, consigning them to the junk heap. Anything out of the mainstream is hard to hear on the radio or find in record stores, all of which pitch their wares to tightly defined demographic groups using near-standardized formulas.

The result? Some say music today is the worst it's ever been.

One has to be wary of overreaching on this argument. Music is a generational thing; today's critics always think that yesterday's music was better. And there are music forms - such as rap and hip-hop - that (like them or not) are clearly breaking new ground. True, Britney Spears is embarrassingly awful, but every generation seems to produce its share of dreck: Remember the Archies?

Still, even those who rave about current artists such as Eminem worry that such originality is ever more rare. The inventive ferment of the jazz age, of early rock, or of virtually every other type of American music seems to be gone. And even as new forms come along (such as Latino or grunge), the recording industry sucks out their life, homogenizing them until they appeal to enough CD buyers.

But what of musicians themselves? For much of history, many of those who have made music have made little from their art. The great thing about recording, argues the industry, is that it turns music into an occupation from which one can live and even prosper.

It's a good argument, except that it's not true. Several analysts examined what happens to a typical band signed to a record contract. The results aren't pretty. For example, says Steve Albini, who used to produce the band Nirvana, a CD with sales of 250,000 (a strong seller) would, after expenses, net a band less than $20,000. One could do better working at a 7-11, he points out.

True, stars such as Michael Jackson become fabulously rich off the business. But they represent only a tiny fraction of the musicians who make music. In fact, there are usually only about 125 gold records each year (that's sales of 500,000). Most musicians make money the old-fashioned way: through live performances. If they are lucky enough to land a record contract, the CDs and radio play give them an opportunity to reach wider audiences and sell out bigger venues. But the sales of recordings per se are rarely the road to wealth.

No one can predict with certainty the future shape of the music business. But it seems clear that CDs will disappear. More musicians will sell directly to listeners on line, and rights to hear music will be sold using ``micropayments.'' Musicians, with easier access to listeners, may be better off.

That's the future the industry's lawyers are fighting to avoid. ``Who's really hurt by free downloads?'' asked singer-songwriter Janis Ian in a column for USA Today. ``The executives at major labels.'' The music industry may die. But music should thrive.

Talk back to Tom Keane at tomkeane@tomkeane.com.